Συγγραφέας: Teddy Seidenfeld, Mark Schervish, Jay Kadane
Teddy Seidenfeld, Mark Schervish, Jay Kadane: Forecasting with Imprecise/Indeterminate Probabilities [IP] – some preliminary findings (pdf, 29 pages)
Part 1 Background on de Finetti’s twin criteria of coherence: Coherence1: 2-sided previsions free from dominance through a Book. Coherence2: Forecasts free from dominance under Brier (squared error) score. Part 2 IP theory based on a scoring rule. |
