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| The Pessimistic Meta-Inductivist: A Sheep in Wolfβs Clothing? | |
| Συγγραφέας: Ioannis Votsis Ioannis Votsis: The Pessimistic Meta-Inductivist: A Sheep in Wolf’s Clothing? (pdf, 38K) Under what circumstances, if any, are we warranted to assert that a theory is true or at  least  approximately  true?  Scientific  realists  answer  that  such  assertions  are warranted only for those theories that enjoy  explanatory and predictive success. A number of challenges to this answer have emerged, chief among them the argument from pessimistic meta-induction. According to this challenge, the history of science supplies ample evidence against realism in the form of successful theories that are now  considered  false.  The  main  realist  reaction  to  this  challenge  questions  the legitimacy of the pessimistic meta-inductivist inference. Advocates of this approach argue  that  upon  closer  scrutiny  the  historical  record  can  be  reconciled  with scientific realism. When a successful theory is abandoned, not all of its components are  discarded  but  only  those  that  are  inessential  or  idle  for  the  theory’s  success. Their  abandonment  is  thus  inconsequential  for  the  realist.  So  long  as  the  essential components survive into the new theory there is no cause for alarm. More precisely, an outdated theory T which enjoyed some measure of success must, according to the realist,  be:  (i)  partially  true  precisely  because  some  of  its  theoretical  claims  are... | |
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